The United States men’s national team is set to begin its knockout stage journey in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, following a strong performance in the group stage. The team secured first place in Group D, marking the first time since 1930 that the U.S. has won two group-stage matches. This achievement has led to increased optimism among fans regarding the team’s potential in the tournament.
The path to the final is projected to be challenging, with the U.S. expected to face mostly higher-ranked teams. The initial knockout stage match will be against Bosnia and Herzegovina, a team that secured its first-ever trip to the knockout stages by finishing third in Group B.
Opening Matchup: Bosnia and Herzegovina
The United States will play Bosnia and Herzegovina on July 1 in the San Francisco Bay Area Stadium. Bosnia and Herzegovina, with a FIFA Rank of 61, enters this match with a record of 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the tournament. Their tournament odds are listed at +250000.
Bosnia and Herzegovina‘s squad includes veteran striker Edin Džeko, who is 40 years old, and emerging talent Kerim Alajbegović, who scored in their 3-1 victory over Qatar. The team has shown resilience, having previously beaten Wales and Italy on penalty kicks during qualification play-offs. The U.S. will aim to avoid a penalty shootout given their opponent’s history.
While Sergej Barbarez‘s side is considered resolute and has improved, the Americans possess superior individual talent and a more fluid style of play. The host nation could dominate from the outset, with Bosnia potentially relying on strong defense and set-piece opportunities.

Potential Future Opponents
Should the United States advance past Bosnia and Herzegovina, their subsequent matches are projected to be against formidable opponents. The round of 16, scheduled for July 6 in Seattle Stadium, could see them face Belgium. Belgium, ranked 10th by FIFA, has a tournament record of 1 win and 2 draws, with odds of +4500.
Belgium‘s recent form includes a 5-1 win over New Zealand, though they also had draws against Egypt and Iraq. Key players like Kevin De Bruyne, Romelu Lukaku, and goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois remain central to their team. A recent friendly saw Belgium defeat the US 5-2, though both teams were not at full strength.
In the quarter-finals on July 10 in Los Angeles Stadium, the projected opponent is Spain. The European champions are ranked 3rd by FIFA, with a record of 2 wins and 1 draw, and tournament odds of +550. Spain‘s creative play often relies on Lamine Yamal, who is 18 years old. While they are strong, their goalless draw with Cape Verde and a 1-0 win over Uruguay suggest they can be challenged.

The semi-finals, slated for July 15 in Dallas Stadium, could pit the United States against France. France is the top-ranked team by FIFA, boasting a perfect record of 3 wins and tournament odds of +360. Didier Deschamps‘ team displayed significant attacking flair in the group stage, including a 4-1 victory over Norway.
Finally, a potential World Cup final appearance on July 19 in New York New Jersey Stadium could see the United States face Argentina. Argentina is ranked 2nd by FIFA, with 3 wins and tournament odds of +500. Another projection suggests England as a potential final opponent, a team with whom the Americans have some familiarity due to players with English experience and a former Premier League manager at the helm.

The United States‘ journey in the 2026 FIFA World Cup begins with their match against Bosnia and Herzegovina on July 1.
Source: foxsports.com

